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Evaluation of health benefit using Ben MAP-CE with an integrated scheme of model and monitor data during Guangzhou Asian Games

查看全文 作  者:Dian [1]Ding;Yun [1,2]Zhu;Carey [3]Jang;Che-Jen [1,4]Lin;Shuxiao [2,5]Wang;Joshua [6]Fu;Jian [7]Gao;Shuang [7]Deng;Junping [1]Xie;Xuezhen [1]Qiu 高影响力作者 机构地区:[1]Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Pollution Control, College of Environmental and Energy, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou Higher Education Mega Center, Guangzhou 510006, China.;[2]State Environmental Protection Key Laboratory of Sources and Control of Air Pollution Complex, Beijing 100084, China;[3]USEPA/Office of Air Quality Planning & Standards, RTP, NC27711, USA;[4]Department of Civil Engineering, Lamar University, Beaumont, TX 77710-0024, USA;[5]Department of Environmental Science and Engineering, Tsinghua University, Beijing 100084, China;[6]Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, University of Tennessee, Knoxville, TN 37996-2010, USA;[7]Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing 100012, China高影响力机构 出  处:《Journal of Environmental Sciences》索引2016年第28卷第4期,共10页高影响力期刊 基  金:provided by the US Environmental Protection Agency(No.5-312-0212979-51786L);the Guangzhou EnvironmentalProtection Bureau(No.x2hj B2150020);the project of an integrated modeling and filed observational verification on the deposition of typical industrial point-source mercury emissions in the Pearl River Delt;supported by the funding of the Guangdong Provincial Key Laboratory of Atmospheric Environment and Pollution Control(No.2011A060901011);the project of Atmospheric Haze Collaboration Control Technology Design from the Chinese Academy of Sciences(No.XDB05030400);the National Environmental Protection Public Welfare Industry Targeted Research Foundation of China(No.201409019) 摘  要:Guangzhou is the capital and largest city(land area:7287 km2)of Guangdong province in South China.The air quality in Guangzhou typically worsens in November due to unfavorable meteorological conditions for pollutant dispersion.During the Guangzhou Asian Games in November 2010,the Guangzhou government carried out a number of emission control measures that significantly improved the air quality.In this paper,we estimated the acute health outcome changes related to the air quality improvement during the 2010 Guangzhou Asian Games using a next-generation,fully-integrated assessment system for air quality and health benefits.This advanced system generates air quality data by fusing model and monitoring data instead of using monitoring data alone,which provides more reliable results.The air quality estimates retain the spatial distribution of model results while calibrating the value with observations.The results show that the mean PM_2.5concentration in November 2010 decreased by 3.5μg/m^3 compared to that in 2009 due to the emission control measures.From the analysis,we estimate that the air quality improvement avoided 106 premature deaths,1869 cases of hospital admission,and 20,026 cases of outpatient visits.The overall cost benefit of the improved air quality is estimated to be 165 million CNY,with the avoided premature death contributing 90%of this figure.The research demonstrates that Ben MAP-CE is capable of assessing the health and cost benefits of air pollution control for sound policy making. 关 键 词:健康效益 监测数据 融合模型 亚运会 广州 集成方案 综合评估系统 空气质量
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