Preliminary Assessment of Simulations of Climate Changes over China by CMIP5 Multi-Models

查看全文 作　　者：XU [1,3]Ying;XU Chong-[2,3]Hai

机构地区：[1]National Climate Center,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China;[2]Meteorological Observation Centre,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China;[3]Laboratory for Climate Studies,China Meteorological Administration,Beijing 100081,China

出　　处：《Atmospheric and Oceanic Science Letters》索引2012年第5卷第6期,共6页

基　　金：supported by the National Natural Science Foundation of China(2009CB421407 and 2010CB950501) 摘　　要：Based on 18 global climate models' simulations of the 20th century climate, a set of experiments within phase five of the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project (CMIP5), the performances of simulating the present climate over China are assessed. Compared with observations, models can capture the dominant features of the geographic distributions of temperature and precipitation during 1961-2005. For the temporal changes of temperature, models appear to have a good performance on reproducing the warming tendency but show limited skills for precipitation. For the regional mean temperature and precipitation over the whole of China, most models underestimate the actual temperature and overestimate precipitation. Concerning the standard deviations of simulations by the 18 models, they are larger for temperature in the western part of China, while the standard deviations are larger for precipitation in the South. 关键词：模式模拟气候变化中国评估全球气候模式耦合模式气候模拟地理分布

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Preliminary Assessment of Simulations of Climate Changes over China by CMIP5 Multi-Models

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